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Article 2
The Inevitable
Question:
Can Astrology
help me
win the
lottery?
This is,
for me, one of
the most uncomfortable questions that
I have had to deal with. Why? Because the truth is, I’m not
quite
sure what the
answer is.
My first reaction to being asked is the following:
“No,
there’s no way you’ll be able to win the lottery
with
the “Fortune Smiling” system, or with any other,
for
that
matter. If that is what
mainly interests you – winning big in the lottery –
forget
it. It’s a waste of
time and money!”
However,
things might not be quite that simple. Let’s examine
this issue a bit more deeply.
A
couple of years
ago, my brother asked me when he would have a “good
day”
for playing the
lottery. I’m not sure which type of game he played, but I
remember that it was
not the “6 out of 49 numbers” sort, but rather, a
game that
gave you better
odds of winning at least something.Using
the techniques I was exploring at the time, I
picked out a day for
him. He played for $1 on that day, and won $100. Of course, he was
delighted.
I, on the other hand, felt that it could well have been coincidence.
After all,
I had given him three good days to play, and he only won on one of
them. True,
what he won on that one day more than equaled the money he had gambled.
So
maybe playing on one of the “right days”
wasn’t such
a bad idea.
My
thinking in such
a matter may surprise you: how can an astrologer who thinks that it is
indeed
possible to improve your luck by investing or playing at the right
times be so
skeptical when an example of success shows up?
Well, it has
to do with the nature of lotteries, and the odds
they offer. In the following example, I’m going to use the
internationally
popular “6 out of 49 numbers” game to illustrate my
thinking.
The probability that you
will happen to pick the six winning
numbers in this game is 1 in 13,983,816, or 0.00000007151%. (In the
rest of
this article, I’ll round that figure off to 1 in 14 million,
for
greater
simplicity.)
Compare that to the odds
at a single-zero roulette table:
48.6%. Of course, if you win a spin of the roulette wheel, you double
your bet;
if you win the lottery, you convert 1 or 2 dollars into hundreds of
thousands,
or even millions. Nonetheless, the probability that this will happen is
so slight
that many would conclude that it isn’t worth playing at all.
But can’t astrology
improve our odds here? Perhaps, but
don’t rejoice just yet.
Let’s assume that
with the advanced techniques incorporated
into the “Fortune Smiling” Financial Graph, you can
indeed
see
your
lucky times. Let’s
further assume (for the sake of argumentation I will assign arbitrary
factors
to “luck” here) that on the days indicated as
“good” on your calendar, you will
be 10 times luckier than on an average day. You decide to play the
lottery on
that day, of course…
After all, you will be
“10 times luckier”. Yet if we combine
this factor with the probability of winning big, what do we get? Now,
instead
of your chance being 1 in 14 million, it’s 10 times better:
10 in
14 million,
or 1 in 1.4 million. Not very encouraging odds, are they?
Now let’s suppose
that your “Fortune Smiling” Financial Graph Report
shows
you
a really fantastic
day, one that is
even 100 times luckier than the average day. (In fact, astrology is not
able to
say ”just how much luckier” a day will be; I am
only giving
these figures as
theoretical examples to make my point.)
One hundred times luckier
seems fantastic good. doesn’t it?
But when combined with what we know, we see that now, our probability
of
walking away with millions of dollars through the lottery is, instead
of 1 in
14 million, 100 in 14 million, or 1 in 140,000. Also not very likely!
To put it as clearly as
possible: while I do believe that
astrology can predict when you will be luckier that normal, the odds in
the
lottery are stacked so steeply against you that even on the luckiest
day of
your life you almost certainly won’t win.
OK, I can hear some of
you now: “How can you say that? After
all, somebody usually wins, so it could be me.”
True, but keep in mind
that since hundreds of thousands, or
even millions of people play, the chances are that somebody
will hit the jackpot, if not this week, then the next, or
the following. But for that person to be you,
you’d need a degree of luck
that most people simply will never have in their lifetime.
Thus speaks David Bolton,
the born skeptic (for that I am,
despite the fact that I am astrologer!).
Now, listen to David
Bolton, the realist:
True, I certainly cannot
count on my “Fortune Smiling” Financial Graph
Report
to win me the lottery. On the other hand, I have seen that astrology can
predict, with a reasonable degree of
reliability, when I will be luckier than average.
Therefore, if I do
plan
to play the lottery, I’m going to do so on one of those lucky
days. I might not
win, but I feel my chances will be better than average, and that is
something,
after all. Who knows, I might not get the big prize, but I could get 3
or 4
numbers right, and that would mean a small win.
To be sure,
it’s hard even to get 3 or 4 numbers out of 6;
once again, the odds aren’t good (1 in 55.7 for getting 3
numbers
right; 1 in
1,031 for getting 4 right numbers).
Now, if I wanted to be truly,
and most coldly, realistic, I
would do this:
Suppose I play the
lottery once a week, and the ticket costs
me 1 euro.
That’s 52 euros
that I “invest” in a year. However, wanting
to improve my chances, I decide not to bet 1 euro each week throughout
the
year, but to play only once
a year,
and select 52 combinations of numbers.
In addition, I
take the astrological factor into account:
I select the
day of the year which, according to my “Fortune
Smiling” Finance
Graph, is one of those exceptionally lucky days, thereby
increasing
the chances of winning even further.
Will this
assure me a win? Of course not, but I do
think that by
playing in such a way,
your chances will be much
better .
Nonetheless, due to the extremely bad odds the game gives you in the
first
place, it is still far from “probable” that you
will win.
And naturally, this
method has another weakness, at least
for most people:
The average
person, when purchasing a lottery ticket, is in
fact buying “hope”: hope that he will soon be a
millionaire, and his whole life
will change for the better. We like to have this hope every week, not
just one
day a year. If we lose one week, we simply say “Oh well,
maybe
next week”. But
waiting an entire year for hope to resurface is a trifle depressing,
isn’t’ it?
Conclusion: do
not count on the “Fortune Smiling” Predictive
Graphs to win
you the lottery; you’d be much better
off using your lucky days to achieve more realistic goals (Forex, day
trading,
casino gambling) that give you better odds, either for making a profit,
or
simply for having a good time with your friends or family!
Yet
if you do feel that it would be best to play the lottery
on the “lucky” days (after all, there is not just
one lucky
day a year: you can
always choose the 20 or 25 days that seem best, and play then), then
the “Fortune Smiling” Financial Graph may well give
you a slight boost in probability:
but as I’ve
said, due to the tremendous odds against you, don’t expect to
win
big any time
soon!
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